Capital Raising in the Middle Market:
Basel III Will Hurt

dinosaur skeleton with monacle

Community banks as we know them may become extinct if they don’t evolve.




 

An article in the American Banker which stated, “Community Banks: Basel III Will Put Us Out of Business”, is not news, at least not for those that follow our thinking.  The community banks are being treated just like any other bank, and that’s not just because of Basel III.

 

The truth as we know it is that the Fed wants fewer banks.  We still have something like 6-7,000 banks nationwide.  Canada has six or seven, and even adjusting for the difference in the size of the economies, we need about 100 at most.  We have a long way to go.

 

Banks with assets of about $10 billion are as efficient as they can get, at least according to the statistics we have seen.   Moreover, they are still small enough that they don’t present systematic risk.  And importantly, they have sufficient scale to have in place the tools that the Fed really wants them to have.

 

Since the the end of 2009, the number of banks in the U.S. has decreased by 15% compared to 20% in the 1980-1989, 36% in the 1990-1999, and 22% between 2000-2009. Data on average assets per employee tells a similar story of disparate scales. Since January 2010, the bigger banks have nearly twice (87%) the assets per employee than the 4,090 community banks with assets between $100 million and $1 billion. The gap between bigger banks and the 2,056 banks with under $100 million in assets is more than double (119%). The trends suggest that these disparities will keep getting bigger.

 

The Fed wants to sit and look at its dashboard and understand the health of the economy.  They also want to be able to see in near real-time the effects that any particular event or decision will have on it.  It doesn’t want any surprises, and that means no exceptions.  They want the same loan being credit scored the same way with the same amount of capital reserved against it regardless of what bank it is housed in.    That is not the least bit unreasonable.

 

Importantly, the Fed can’t have a real-time dashboard if community banks are still using Excel.  The Fed wants the enterprise risk systems of all banks to download into theirs.  That means survivors need sophisticated systems, and sophisticated systems require scale.

 

The consequence is that capital raising for middle market and lower middle market companies being funded by community banks could be in for a nasty surprise.  Credit availability could evaporate for some banks, and their borrowers.  Companies that are at risk of financial distress will find themselves looking for a new (likely non-bank) financing source.  If they don’t, they may find themselves an involuntary sell side M&A candidate.  That happened a lot during the financial crisis.

 

The way bank assets are rated will put term loans into a very expensive category.  The longer the term, the greater the capital that must be reserved.  Short term loans will the only thing that many capital-short banks will be able to offer, such as one year, or 364 day revolving lines of credit. With all their debt due within on year, that leaves companies vulnerable to liquidity risk.

 

Our advice to lower middle market and middle market companies is to understand the credit strength of their bank.  If you aren’t sure how strong is strong, please don’t hesitate to contact us. To learn more, contact us

by Charles Smith

Mr. Smith is the founder of Pegasus Intellectual Capital Solutions, a boutique investment bank specializing in mergers and acquisitions, Capital Raising and restructuring and workouts. The firm is an innovator in the use of Intellectual Capital Audit for pre-closing due diligence and in turnarounds. Charles can be reached at csmith@pegasusics.com

To College Grads Who Want to be Investment Bankers

College Grads

It’s not as easy as it looks.




For those new graduates thinking about a career in investment banking, there are different parts of this industry you can focus on: investment banking with a bulge bracket, regional or boutique firm.  Or there is the investment banking side of commercial banking.  Being on the other side, the buy side, is just as cool, and maybe even more prosperous.  Private equity, family offices with PE divisions, companies with a PE group and university endowments all have their appeal.

 

Each has its own culture.  And culture is tremendously important to your success.  Culture is hard to describe and, in my view, can only be experienced.  I would suggest that you take interest and aptitude tests as a starting point.  Then, if you look like a fit, try to interview with all of them.  Your personality, drive, and goals must match those of your employer or you’ll both be unhappy.

 

A boutique firm like this one is very very different than a bulge bracket firm or a regional investment bank.  There are vast differences between the commercial banks as well. Within a large firm you can focus on a specialty within corporate finance:  debt capital markets, equity, mergers and acquisitions, or restructuring and reorganization.  At a smaller firm like PegasusICS, you would do it all, as they are, in our view, closely related.

 

Be aware that it is not an easy path to walk.  It takes innate, upper single-digit percentile ranking in numerical reasoning, people skills, emotional intelligence (if you want to be a rainmaker), immense drive, tenacity, and a belief in yourself.

 

But there are universal truths.  You have to be smart.  You have to work hard and love what you do.   There must be a part of you that loves the thrill of the chase, and solving problems.  You must be able to pick yourself up after suffering a set back and dust yourself off and go right back at it.

 

You must also have sufficient self confidence that you can admit when you don’t know something.  I tell analysts that they should only bring me right answers.  I can get wrong answers for free and save paying their salary.  If you know the answer, wonderful.  If you don’t, say you will get back to me.  Know what you don’t know.

 

I would also add that you must be very, very honest.  To me, honesty is our secret sauce.  Too many people aren’t.  It differentiates us.  Money – as it was put to me by a senior banker when I was an analyst – is a very serious matter.  Whether someone is borrowing it or lending it, you want to rely on the word of the other party across the table from you when you are dealing with money.  A corollary here is that you should never work for people that aren’t honest.  That means an employer, boss or client.

 

Integrity is only part of it. Being forthright is the other part.  To be forthright is to offer information that the other party needs to make a decision.  You can be honest and still not be forthright.  Strive to be both honest and forthright, work hard, and think more about your client than you do for yourself.  Be willing to throw yourself on a hand grenade for them.  Make them a lot of money.  They will like you for it.  It’s hard not to like people that make you a lot of money.  And that will earn you a clientele.

 

As I have told my analysts over the years, by the time you are in your forties and fifties, you will have a reputation  whether you like it or not.  Make sure its a good one.  If you do, your life’s work will make your later years easier, and business will flow to you.

 

Lastly, I strongly recommend that you get a mentor.  This should be someone that knows the industry and that you trust. While there are constant innovations being made, much of the skill set has to be acquired by learning from someone that themselves was taught them.  This is apprenticeship.  Your mentor can also tell you who’s who.  This is hard earned knowledge, and is very valuable in a knowledge industry like this one.  Be loyal to the people that take care of you.  And good luck.

by Charles Smith

Mr. Smith is the founder of Pegasus Intellectual Capital Solutions, a boutique investment bank specializing in mergers and acquisitions, Capital Raising and restructuring and workouts. The firm is an innovator in the use of Intellectual Capital Audit for pre-closing due diligence and in turnarounds. Charles can be reached at csmith@pegasusics.com

 

 

Capital Raising Without Venture Capital

Venture Capitalist

VC to my rescue? No, I’m fine, thank you though.




Entrepreneurs – those beginning their journey following their passion – commonly don’t come from the world of finance.  They are inventors, engineers, salesmen, and creative types.  So when they go to look for financing, the thing they’ve heard about is Venture Capital”.  It is all so seductive, this… Venture Capital.  It’s capital to finance ventures, right?   It all seems so logical.

 

The problem is that the world of Venture Capital is broken.  And those aren’t my words.  They are the words of Jeff Sohl, Executive Director of the National Center for Venture Capital at the University of New Hampshire, uttered while we discussed the best way to help a manufacturer have access to more innovations than through its own R&D.  There’s not much to misunderstand about ‘broken’.

 

Rumors abound of someone with a great idea getting oodles of dough from a Venture Capitalist.  It’s a bit like hearing about Bigfoot.  We’ve all heard the stories, but do we know anyone personally that’s actually seen this thing?

 

For those of you out there that want something that’s real and obtainable, look into the SBIR.   Did I mention its free?

 

So what is this SBIR?  The Small Business Innovation Research program is a US program, coordinated by the SBA in which 2.5% of the total extramural research budgets of large (over $100 million) federal agencies are reserved for contracts or grants to small businesses.  In 2010, that represented over $2 Billion in research funds, of which $1 Billion was from the DOD alone. Over half the awards were to firms with fewer than 25 people and a third to firms of fewer than 10. A fifth were to minority or women-owned businesses. A quarter of the companies in FY10 were first-time winners.

 

The program has three objectives:

 

  • to spur technological innovation in the small business sector
  • to meet the research and development needs of the federal government
  • to commercialize federally funded investments.

The purpose of the program, in the words of its founder, is to “to provide funding for some of the best early-stage innovation ideas — ideas that, however promising, are still too high risk for private investors, including venture capital firms.”   That is good news for many entrepreneurs.

 

So, with this as backdrop, here is my point in a nutshell.   If Uncle Sam isn’t going to finance you, think about your chances obtaining Venture Capital.

 

And for you not-so-small companies, the SBIR defines “small business” as a business with fewer than 500 employees.

 

The SBIR program agencies award monetary grants in phases I and II of a three-phase program:

 

  • Phase I, the startup phase, makes awards of up to $150,000 for approximately 6 months support for exploration of the technical merit or feasibility of an idea or technology.
  • Phase II awards grants of up to $1 million, for as many as 2 years, in order to facilitate expansion of Phase I results.  Research and development work is performed and the developer evaluates the potential for commercialization.  Phase II grants are awarded exclusively to Phase I award winners.
  • Phase III is intended to be the time when innovation moves from the laboratory into the marketplace. No additional SBIR funds are awarded for Phase III.  At that point the business must find funding in the private sector or other non-SBIR federal agency funding.

Commercializing your product is the challenge.  After being burned a decade ago, Ven Cap tends wait on the sidelines before it invests in a company, well after its revenues come rolling in.  To get from Phase II to commercialization, you need to bootstrap your company.  Professor Sohl was one of the authors of a very good article on this subject, Mitigating the limited scalability of bootstrapping through strategic alliances to enhance new venture growth.  

 

Once you have revenues and approach break even, we can help you raise capital for growth.

 

The nice thing about the SBIR is that your company owns the intellectual property and all commercialization rights. Companies such as Symantec, Qualcomm, DaVinci and iRobot were started with R&D funding from this program.

 

A similar program, the Small Business Technology Transfer Program (STTR), uses a similar approach to the SBIR program to expand public/private sector partnerships between small businesses and nonprofit U.S. research institutions, and is funded at present at .3% of the relevant agencies’ extramural research budgets.  In FY10, that amounted to over $100 million, but that is a pittance compared to the SBIR’s $2 Billion (unless you are the lucky soul to get the $100 million).

 

To get started, look into the FAST program (“Federal and State”).  It is a program of State-based business mentoring and assistance to aid small businesses in the preparation of SBIR proposals and management of the contracts.  It is more active in some states than others.

 

We don’t arrange finance for startups.  We finance late stage startups, those with customers and revenues.  Look to the SBIR to get you started.  To learn more, contact us

by Charles Smith

Mr. Smith is the founder of Pegasus Intellectual Capital Solutions, a boutique investment bank specializing in mergers and acquisitions, Capital Raising and restructuring and workouts. The firm is an innovator in the use of Intellectual Capital Audit for pre-closing due diligence and in turnarounds. Charles can be reached at csmith@pegasusics.com

 

Marketing’s Importance to M & A
and Capital Raising

Inventor with machine

It has to be cool to other people too.

 

Late state start-up companies can only get to be late stage if their marketing is as good as their product. If you are the only one that thinks your product has a value that is greater than the price you need to charge to earn a respectable profit, you need to reconsider either the needs of the market, your manufacturing costs, or dropping or changing your product.

 

Private equity firms and strategic buyers want to see that you have nailed the demand of market. While many entrepreneurs believe that venture capital will come running to your door, that is rarely the situation. The Venture Capital world is a fraction of the size it was a decade ago. Both the world of M&A and capital raising are impressed by profit and unimpressed with ideas. Lots of people have ideas. But precious few can execute on them. And that requires marketing.

 

So if you want to sell your company, or ultimately raise capital, you will need to bootstrap it, show you know how to run a lean company, and prove that your product does indeed meet the demands of a substantial market segment. You will also need to establish that your market segment is large enough to support an impressive revenue and earnings trajectory. And the only way to prove that is with actual results exemplified by growing sales and profitability. Getting a workable model of your product developed, creating your Marketing Mix (Product, Price, Place and Promotion) and getting your product in the hands of paying customers is the only proof that acquirers care about.

 

These are some questions you need to ask yourself. What do I know, really know, about my customer? What distinguishes them from everyone else? What do they do, how do they think, act, and behave? What need of my customer am I satisfying and how are they satisfying that need now? How do I intend to keep on satisfying it once my competition verifies with its own product offering that they too think I am on to something?

 

How do I intend to reach my customer from a distribution standpoint? What are the economics from the point of view of my distributors? Can I make the product at a low enough price so that everyone in the supply chain earns their cost of capital or better?

 

Shelf space, whether in a grocery store or elsewhere, is tough to get. If you have to work through intermediaries, you have to understand their needs in terms of margin and turnover. Think in terms of profit per square foot per annum.

 

As to surviving past the first generation of your product, how do you intend to continue to obsolete your existing product? While patents are nice, if you don’t have any cash to finance the inevitable infringement by larger competitors, you will eventually be pushed out of the market. The only way to ensure surviveability is to come to market with your product’s replacement before the competition does.

 

And how do I estimate demand? How exactly does one estimate demand and price a product that has never existed? There are methodologies, such as the use of Choice Theory, to estimate the demand curve. But that works best with products that are fairly easily comprehended by your consumer. What it really takes is a keen understanding of the human mind, and that is far more than just having an understanding of psychology. Factor in 6 million years of evolution, and we start to get a clearer picture.

 

Remember that there are always early adopters, the mass market and laggards. Your marketing mix and marketing campaign should reflect an understanding of these personality types. Focus on your first iteration of your product getting in the hands of the early adopters. Hopefully, they are opinion leaders, and other customers will decide they need your product too.

 

So, if you really want to have a company that other people want to buy, focus first on marketing and the psychology of your customer. And if you really want to be rich, focus on business-to-business services and products. There are far fewer new products and services being developed for b-2-b than for the consumer market, much to the sadness of venture capital and private equity firms. To learn more, contact us

by Charles Smith

Mr. Smith is the founder of Pegasus Intellectual Capital Solutions, a boutique investment bank specializing in mergers and acquisitions, Capital Raising and restructuring and workouts. The firm is an innovator in the use of Intellectual Capital Audit for pre-closing due diligence and in turnarounds. Charles can be reached at csmith@pegasusics.com

Our Interview with The Suit Magazine

Interview of Charles Smith The suit magazine

Interview of Charles Smith, Managing Partner, Pegasus Intellectual Capital Solutions LLC, by Robert Jordan, Managing Editor of The Suit Magazine, September 27, 2012

 

Questions:

 1. Charles Smith, you are the owner of Pegasus Intellectual Capital Solutions, LLC. Can you  explain the gradual evolution of the business? What were you doing before then?